Whats in an investment newsletter and inside your computer
This U.S advisory talks to a Canadian who founded his own U.S. advisory — and then talks about a stock that helps computers talk.
Since were in the business of studying investment advisories
of all kinds, it seems a good idea to go straight to the horses
mouth. What does a man who starts up a market letter think you, the investor,
should get out of his publication?
We have an opportunity to do that because we have one editor
of a market letter interviewing the editor of another. The interviewer
is Mr. Max Bowser of The Bowser Report. The interviewee is Mr.
David Robinson, whose publication is called The Bull & Bear Financial
Report.
This publication is somewhat unusual in that it does not
give investment advice directly. Instead, it brings in both bullish and
bearish views from analysts on each stock it covers. Hence the name.
Mr. Bowser has a particular reason to like this market letter:
it deals extensively with small stocks, his own area of specialty, and
one that just doesnt get enough respect. Low-priced stocks
are treated as a subculture by the upper echelon of the investment community,
even though these small companies are recognized as creators of big jobs.
Mr. Bowser writes from Newport News, Virginia. The Bull
& Bear is published in Florida. If the latter publication has
any bias, says Mr. Bowser, it is towards resource stocks, which
might reflect the fact that Dave Robinson, the editor/publisher, was born
in Canada
And heres us thinking that Canadians moved to Florida
to get away from our rocks and trees, and all the snow that falls on them.
Making up their own minds
Mr. Robinson is not a market insider. He came to his current
calling from the publishing business. And he has some interesting observations
on how investment habits have changed over the years, what you will find
on the Internet, and who reads investment advisories and why.
The Canadian publisher got the idea for his newsletter simply
by listening to his broker friends argue about stocks and sectors over
lunch or dinner. Obviously, consensus was hard to find. So why not publish
the both sides of the argument?
That was 34 years ago. How have the markets changed since, he was asked?
Individual investors are doing more of their own research,
replies Mr. Robinson. They may take a newsletter just for guidance.
On the other hand, the Net is a powerful tool for charting and so on.
The advent of online brokers, most of whom do not offer advice, verifies
that individuals are making up their own minds.
That is why his publication does not give investment advice,
but seeks to give investors the ammunition they need to make up their
own minds.
Women want the challenge
Mr. Robinson estimates that people take fewer newsletters
than they did in the past. Where they might have taken five of six, they
may now receive one, or turn to the Internet for advice.
He does have a word of warning about the Internet: Sometimes
you have to be wary of what youre reading there. (Present
company excepted, of course.) In short, stay away from the pump-and-dump
schemes that disguise themselves as respectable online advice. There are
more than enough credible web sites to rely on.
Finally, who reads investment advisories? Mr. Robinson estimates
that on average, readers come in at an average age of 60 years. He has
found, however, that more women are taking newsletters than ever before.
You have two factors at work here, he explains.
One, it is well known that women outlive men. Secondly, they have
become better educated and consequently carry on their husbands
investments or develop their own approach.
But thats not the whole story. There are many younger
women who are doing well in their careers and want the challenge
of guiding their own investments.
Thats one mans view of his mission of his newsletter
and of the people hes serving. But since he doesnt offer direct
investment advice, lets get some from Mr. Bowser.
Contacting far-off places
Deep in the mysterious world that enables your computer
to contact far-off places is Network Engines, says Mr. Bowser by
way of introduction to his Company of the Month.
Specifically, he adds, a large portion of the revenue of
Network Engines (NASDQ-NENG) is derived from the sale of server
appliances to customers in the data storage and security markets.
The days when a computer was simply a jumped-up typewriter
or handy games console are far behind us, of course. Its the communications
between computers that have made them an essential part of our daily lives,
at work and at home.
The server is the computer that controls a network of computers
or powers a web site. Thats where this company makes its money.
Network Engines has two divisions. The OEM (Original Equipment
Manufacturer) Segment makes server appliance products that allow network
equipment supplies and software vendors to adapt their software to specific
servers.
Those customers then sell Networks products under their
own names. Among the names are one or two very familiar one: Nortel Networks,
Borderware, Juniper Networks, EMC Corp. and Surf Control.
The Distribution Segment plays a lesser role. It basically
markets the companys NS Series Security and Acceleration Server
Software. The biggest source of the companys current growth lies
in a big addition.
A life-altering decision
Its not often that one decision can be a life-altering
one, says Mr. Bowser, but NENGs acquisition of Alliance
Systems last October qualifies as one. It almost doubled Network Engines
top line.
Alliance operates in the same spooky hi-tech world
as Network Engines, as Mr. Bowser puts it, and the two firms products
compliment one another.
Alliances server and storage products go out to the
communications, enterprise and military markets. It also offers infrastructure
to support wireless, VoIP and security and video communications. The head
office is in Plano, Texas, with European headquarters in Bad Hamburg,
Germany.
In its last full year as an independent company, 2006, Alliance
had sales of $99.3 million with net income of $1,619,000. Its revenues
have increased each of the last three fiscal years.
Network Engines was able to acquire Alliance without having
to borrow, notes Mr. Bowser with approval. It paid some $32 million in
cash and issued 2.9 million shares. As of the end of 2007, the Network
balance sheet was clean. In the meantime, revenue for the first quarter
of fiscal 2008 doubled from $27.2 million to $54.3 million. Net income
went from a loss of $114,000 to a gain of $1,241,000.
Mr. Bowser credits the turnaround in Networks fortunes
to the CEO, Mr. Gregory Shortell, who took command in January 2006. Coming
from a senior position at Nokia, the new CEO engineered the acquisition
of Alliance with a central idea in mind: reduce the companys dependence
on one major customer. A year ago, EMC Corp. supplied 82 per cent of the
firms business. By the first quarter of this fiscal year, the figure
was less than 40 per cent.
There are 43,656,000 shares outstanding, with 19.9 per cent
held by two institutions and 18.8 per cent held by current directors and
officers of the company.
The shares of Network Engines have been sliding somewhat
in todays difficult markets. But as the integration of Alliance
proceeds, Mr. Bowser reckons that the companys life-altering decision
could create some lively profits. The stock currently trades at $1.48.
Who knows? Reading the right investment advisory could be
a life-altering decision for investors. Or reading about the right advisory
on a web site that discusses advisories. At any rate, this web site wishes
you a very happy Easter weekend. Well be back on Monday.
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